Here's the bracket heading into Championship Week. Note that I had BYU as a 7 but couldn't get them on the 7-line for Thursday/Saturday games, so they got dropped to an 8. I also dropped Gonzaga a line because as I bracketed the teams they were the last 8, and they'd have been potentially playing St. Mary's in the Sweet 16.
As to the teams I left out: I actually think Xavier has a good chance of moving into the bracket. I actually like Indiana's chances of staying in better than Ohio State's. OSU, at just three games over .500, probably is done with a loss in the first round despite their numbers, while if Indiana loses to Oregon, it's not as bad a loss and they could possibly survive.
Oklahoma, at 6-12 in the SEC, would be the worst team (by league record) to get an at-large bid. It's just too hard to leave them out. Texas doesn't have the Sooners' margin for error - OK would probably be a play-in with a first round loss while Texas is finished with a loss - they're already barely hanging on.
As an A-10 fan I was rooting for Dayton to lose on Friday, but to beat VCU in the A-10 final, which I think would've gotten both in. Now I'm not so sure that VCU has that cushion. If VCU is going to lose, it better be to the 2/3 seed and it better be close. Anything less and I think they're done.
Boise is out with a loss but might need two wins (or a LOT of help). San Diego State may not survive a loss either, but they are definitely better positioned. I just think Colorado State is too far back to be anything but a bid thief - but they're capable of that! If CSU beats Boise in the final, they could both get in, and a couple of bubble teams are in serious trouble.
Other bid thieves:
San Francisco, WCC
Dayton/George Mason, A-10
I don't think the Big West runner up gets in.
Here's the rundown:
1 1 Auburn SEC
2 1 Duke ACC
3 1 Houston Big 12
4 1 Florida SEC
5 2 Alabama SEC
6 2 Tennessee SEC
7 2 Michigan State Big Ten
8 2 Texas Tech Big 12
9 3 Iowa State Big 12
10 3 St. John's Big East
11 3 Kentucky SEC
12 3 Texas A&M SEC
13 4 Wisconsin Big Ten
14 4 Purdue Big Ten
15 4 Maryland Big Ten
16 4 Clemson ACC
17 5 Arizona Big 12
18 5 Michigan Big Ten
19 5 Oregon Big Ten
20 5 St. Mary's (CA) West Coast
21 6 Louisville ACC
22 6 Missouri SEC
23 6 Mississippi SEC
24 6 Illinois Big Ten
25 7 UCLA Big Ten
26 7 Marquette Big East
27 7 BYU Big 12
28 7 Kansas Big 12
29 8 Memphis American
30 8 Mississippi State SEC
31 8 Connecticut Big East
32 8 Gonzaga West Coast
33 9 Creighton Big East
34 9 New Mexico Mountain West
35 9 West Virginia Big 12
36 9 Georgia SEC
37 10 Vanderbilt SEC
38 10 Utah State Mountain West
39 10 Baylor Big 12
40 10 Arkansas SEC
41 11 Oklahoma SEC
42 11 VCU Atlantic 10
43 11 Drake Missouri Valley
44 11 San Diego State Mountain West
45 11 Ohio State Big Ten
46 12 North Carolina ACC
47 12 Indiana Big Ten
48 12 UC San Diego Big West
49 12 McNeese State Southland
50 12 Liberty CUSA
51 13 Yale Ivy
52 13 Akron MAC
53 13 High Point Big South
54 13 Arkansas State Sun Belt
55 14 Lipscomb Atlantic Sun
56 14 Utah Valley WAC
57 14 Chattanooga Southern
58 14 Northern Colorado Big Sky
59 15 Towson Coastal
60 15 Robert Morris Horizon
61 15 Central Connecticut State Northeast
62 15 Bryant America East
63 16 Norfolk State Mid-Eastern
64 16 Omaha Summit
65 16 Southern SWAC
66 16 Quinnipiac Metro Atlantic
67 16 Bucknell Patriot
68 16 SIU-Edwardsville Ohio Valley
No comments:
Post a Comment