Seed List, 3/15/24

 As of mid-day, Friday, March 15th.

A few notes about this.

I think Tennessee's loss costs them the last 1-seed. I think that UNC has an easier path to winning the ACC than Arizona does to the Pac 12 title. If Arizona wins and UNC gets upset, they get the last 1. If they both win... it's going to be close.

I think Nevada will probably get passed, by Wisconsin or maybe TTU for that last 5.

I dropped Seton Hall out, did not think their metrics were good enough. I like Providence more than them right now after comparing their team sheets. 

Virginia is in a bad spot drawing NCST, a team that's not even really on the bubble. A loss, for me, would drop them out. 

Had trouble assessing New Mexico and Texas A&M. A&M has those huge wins over Tennessee, Kentucky and Iowa state, but five Q3 losses. UNM has a similar Q1 record, but against less impressive teams, and their overall schedule is weaker (though the Mountain West is a gauntlet this year). I like the Lobos a little better right now and think A&M is closer to getting passed (maybe by Providence? Pitt?). All these teams better be rooting against South Florida to open up a spot, but I'm hoping USF pulls it out... I want some non-P6 schools to get in, and I'm sure a P6 school will take USF's spot.

Hardest to leave out is Indiana State. I'm going to re-review their case as these games shake out, but despite a strong NET and respectable SOR, they did their damage against Q3/4. Maybe they'll get a break like Belmont did a few years back...

I feel like a few high-NET teams are going to get the shaft. Villanova, ISU, maybe UNM, possibly Colorado... and we'll be talking about the NET needing an overhaul. Dayton has the NET of a six-seed, but their lack of quality wins and uneven finish will push them down to the 8/9 game.

	Seed	Team	Conference
1	1	Purdue	Big Ten
1	2	Connecticut	Big East
1	3	Houston	Big 12
1	4	North Carolina	ACC
2	5	Arizona	Pacific-12
2	6	Tennessee	SEC
2	7	Iowa State	Big 12
2	8	Marquette	Big East
3	9	Creighton	Big East
3	10	Baylor	Big 12
3	11	Duke	ACC
3	12	Kentucky	SEC
4	13	Illinois	Big Ten
4	14	Alabama	SEC
4	15	Auburn	SEC
4	16	Kansas	Big 12
5	17	BYU	Big 12
5	18	San Diego State	Mountain West
5	19	South Carolina	SEC
5	20	Nevada	Mountain West
6	21	Washington State	Pacific-12
6	22	Wisconsin	Big Ten
6	23	Clemson	ACC
6	24	Texas Tech	Big 12
7	25	ST. MARY'S	West Coast
7	26	Utah State	Mountain West
7	27	Gonzaga	West Coast
7	28	Florida	SEC
8	29	Dayton	Atlantic 10
8	30	Texas	Big 12
8	31	Boise State	Mountain West
8	32	Colorado State	Mountain West
9	33	Northwestern	Big Ten
9	34	Nebraska	Big Ten
9	35	TCU	Big 12
9	36	Mississippi State	SEC
10	37	Michigan State	Big Ten
10	38	Oklahoma	Big 12
10	39	Florida Atlantic	American
10	40	St. John's	Big East
11	41	DRAKE	Missouri Valley
11	42	Virginia	ACC
11	43	New Mexico	Mountain West
11	44	Colorado	Pac 12
11	45	Texas A&M	SEC
11	46	Princeton	Ivy
12	47	Grand Canyon	WAC
12	48	JAMES MADISON	Sun Belt
12	49	MCNEESE STATE	Southland
12	50	UC Irvine	Big West
13	51	SAMFORD	Southern
11	52	VCU	Atlantic 10
13	53	South Florida	American
13	54	COLLEGE OF CHARLESTON	Coastal
14	55	Vermont	America East
14	56	MOREHEAD STATE	Ohio Valley
14	57	Akron	MAC
14	58	OAKLAND	Horizon
15	59	COLGATE	Patriot
15	60	SOUTH DAKOTA STATE	Summit
15	61	Western Kentucky	CUSA
15	62	LONGWOOD	Big South
16	63	Quinnipiac	Metro Atlantic
16	64	MONTANA STATE	Big Sky
16	65	STETSON	Atlantic Sun
16	66	Norfolk State	Mid-Eastern
16	67	Grambling	SWAC
16	68	WAGNER	Northeast